AI 2040: Plan A
ai-2040.com
July 9, 2026
10 min read
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46/100
Summary
Humanity aims to delay the development of superintelligence until 2040 while making all AI research public. This plan encourages global competition among numerous companies and establishes a regime of mutually assured compute destruction.
Key Takeaways
- AI companies are expected to achieve the goal of building smarter-than-human AI systems within the next 1 to 10 years.
- Plan A proposes delaying the development of superintelligence until 2040, ensuring research transparency, and fostering global cooperation to avoid an AI-driven existential crisis.
- The implementation of Plan A is seen as a recommendation to prevent a dangerous race to superintelligence, rather than a prediction of future events.
- The current trajectory of AI development poses a significant risk of power concentration and potential loss of human control over superintelligent systems.
Community Sentiment
Positives
- There's undeniable value in AI's capabilities, and many see it as a Pandora's box that we can't just close; we must keep improving.
- The discussion around AI regulation is crucial, but the fear of authoritarian misuse highlights the need for transparency in AI development.
Concerns
- The idea of limiting AI development is naive; it risks centralizing control and could lead to a world police state of regulation that stifles innovation.
- If only select governments and corporations wield AI tech, we could end up in a scenario where they become the de facto world government—tyranny is a real concern.
- Fears of ASI are unlikely to create any serious movement to pause AI; public dislike of companies driving AI is more likely to spur action.
