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The sigmoids won't save you
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Overview
The Sigmoids Won't Save You ... “All exponentials eventually become sigmoids” is an annoying AI talking point. If someone presents a graph like this… ….and points out that it seems like AI capabilities could soon reach the level marked “High”, then the height of intelligent debate is to point out that actually, the trend could go like this: …and then it would never reach the level marked “High”! I...
Summary from astralcodexten.com.
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The sigmoids won't save you
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