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I Think You Might Be Fooling Yourself with AI

louwrentius.com

July 23, 2026

5 min read

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47/100

Summary

Maintaining scientific integrity is challenging in the context of AI and large language models (LLMs). Richard Feynman's warning about self-deception emphasizes the importance of critical thinking and honesty in evaluating AI technologies.

Key Takeaways

There is currently no independent scientific evidence that using AI tools increases productivity, despite perceptions to the contrary.
A study reported that developers using AI felt they completed tasks faster, but were actually around 19% slower.
AI tools may lead to mass layoffs under the guise of increased productivity, which some industry leaders have termed "AI washing."
The operational costs of AI are unsustainable, with indications that services like ChatGPT could become prohibitively expensive without vendor subsidies.

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Community Sentiment

Mixed

Positives

For those lacking skills, LLMs are a game changer — the potential for productivity leaps is undeniable for the uninitiated.
Even if AI's progress stalls, its current utility is so immense that many can't imagine going back to a world without it.
The discussion around AI's productivity benefits is vital; it's about finding the right balance between perceived effort and actual efficiency.

Concerns

Claims of productivity increases are flimsy; many argue the evidence just doesn't support the hype around AI's efficiency.
Skepticism is rampant about AI costs; the fear is that pricing will only go up, contrary to optimistic predictions.
The studies cited to support AI's effectiveness often come with caveats that make them unreliable, leaving many doubting the actual impact.