We Have Learned Nothing

colossus.com
March 19, 2026
23 min read
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49/100
Summary
Widespread adoption of popular startup methods leads to a lack of differentiation among companies, resulting in high failure rates. Founders are encouraged to pursue unique strategies rather than conforming to established techniques for success.
Key Takeaways
- Widely known startup methods lead to convergence among founders, resulting in similar companies and increased failure rates.
- The New Punditry's approach emphasizes treating business ideas as falsifiable hypotheses and encourages rapid iteration based on real user feedback.
- Despite claims of a scientific approach to entrepreneurship, startup punditry has not effectively reduced failure rates in startups.
- Traditional long-range planning is deemed ineffective for high-growth startups due to the unpredictability of the future.
Coverage & discussions
Hacker News · colossus.com
Community discussions
Community Sentiment
Concerns
- The lack of improvement in startup survival rates over the past 30 years suggests that widely taught methodologies may not be effective, raising concerns about their practical application.
- The notion that successful entrepreneurs can provide good advice is challenged by the reality that many may not have systematically applied effective methods, indicating a gap in knowledge transfer.




