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Intel’s stock crashes, knocking $12B from government’s stake

Intel's stock crashes, knocking $12B from government's stake | TechCrunch

techcrunch.com

Source published October 30, 2026

Summary: 1 min read

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Summary

Intel shares fell about 28% on Friday after the chipmaker issued a fourth-quarter outlook below analysts’ expectations, marking one of the company’s worst trading days. CNBC reported that the decline cut roughly $12 billion from the value of the U.S. government’s Intel stake. The Trump administration bought a 10% stake more than a year earlier, while Nvidia also acquired a significant Intel stake in 2025. Intel shares remain up more than 70% for the year, leaving both investments profitable so far despite the sell-off. Intel forecast fourth-quarter revenue of $15 billion to $16 billion, compared with analyst expectations of about $17 billion. It also projected gross margin would fall to 37% from 43% and said heavy investment would prevent positive cash flow. CEO Lip-Bu Tan said customers had signaled a PC slowdown because higher memory prices and limited availability were raising system endpoint prices and straining IT budgets. Intel’s data-center revenue grew 78% from the year-ago quarter, but the company needs more fabrication capacity and external foundry customers to compete with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. One new Intel fabrication plant in Arizona is operating, while another is not expected online until 2028.

Key Takeaways

  • Intel shares dropped about 28% after the company forecast fourth-quarter revenue of $15 billion to $16 billion, below the roughly $17 billion analysts expected.
  • CNBC reported that the sell-off erased about $12 billion from the value of the U.S. government’s 10% Intel stake.
  • Intel expects gross margin to decline from 43% to 37% and does not expect positive cash flow because of heavy investment.
  • Higher memory prices and constrained component availability are pressuring PC demand, according to Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan.
  • Intel’s data-center revenue rose 78% year over year, but additional fab capacity is needed; a second Arizona fab is not expected to begin operating until 2028.
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