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prediction-markets
Latest stories covering prediction-markets, with summaries and links to related coverage.
2 stories · 2 reports · page 1 of 1
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The AI Superforecasters Are Here
opinion
26 min read
AI superforecasters have emerged as significant players in prediction markets, with one startup reportedly turning $35 into $2 million on Kalshi over seven months. The annual prediction market conference showcased the transition of prediction markets into a multi-billion dollar industry, attracting notable figures such as the President’s son as an advisor.
Why Almost Everyone Loses–Except a Few Sharks–On Prediction Markets
opinion
1 min read
John Pederson turned $2,000 into $41,000 by betting on daily snowfall totals and sports using Kalshi, a prediction market. He developed his betting strategy with the assistance of AI while recovering from a car crash.