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The Future of AI Software Development

Fragments: February 18

martinfowler.com

February 18, 2026

9 min read

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

58/100

Summary

Thoughtworks held a Future of Software Development Retreat to discuss AI-enabled development. Rachel Laycock and a colleague addressed inquiries about the event's intent, clarifying it is not aimed at creating a new manifesto like the Agile Manifesto.

Key Takeaways

  • The Thoughtworks Future of Software Development Retreat highlighted that existing practices and structures for human-only software development are failing under AI-assisted work, with new replacements still maturing.
  • AI is viewed as an amplifier in software development, enhancing existing processes rather than fundamentally changing them; its impact is significant on individual productivity but can accelerate existing issues if best practices are not in place.
  • The rise of large language models (LLMs) is expected to reduce the need for specialized front-end and back-end developers, shifting focus towards skills driven by LLM capabilities.
  • There is uncertainty regarding the future cost of using LLMs, as the long-term pricing of tokens remains unclear and could influence their adoption and economic viability.
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Community Sentiment

Mixed

Positives

  • The Kimi K2 model demonstrates impressive performance at 24 tokens/second on affordable hardware, indicating that AI tools could become highly accessible and cost-effective for developers.
  • The ability of LLMs to handle complex tasks allows developers to take on more significant challenges, potentially transforming the role of software engineers into Expert Generalists.

Concerns

  • Concerns about the long-term costs of token usage for LLMs suggest that future affordability may be uncertain, impacting the viability of AI in software development.
  • The discussion around token subsidies raises skepticism about the true cost of AI models, indicating potential financial barriers for widespread adoption.

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